FY 2026 Approval Rates Show Increased Scutiny for EB-1A and EB-2 NIW Green Cards - VisaNation Law Group
Must Know Facts

Must-Know Facts

  • The approval rate for the extraordinary ability green card dropped drastically from 66.91% in FY 2025 to just 47.45% in Q1 2026.
  • Driven by a 200% surge in applications over the last few years, EB-2 NIW approval rates fell from 55.17% in FY 2025 to 42.61% in Q1 2026 as USCIS adjudicators apply heavy scrutiny.
Graph showing increased scutiniy of approval rates

USCIS released the latest approval rate data for employment-based permanent residency in the first quarter of FY 2026. Relative to FY 2025, pathways including the EB-1A and EB-2 NIW saw increased scrutiny and lower approval odds.

I-140 Approval Rates In FY 2026 Q1

Visa Category
Approved
Denied

Q1 2026 I-140 Approval Rate

First Preference (EB1)
5,961
2,562
69.94%
Alien of Extraordinary Ability (E11)
2,180
2,414
47.45%
Outstanding Professor or Researcher (E12)
1,342
73
94.84%
Multi-national Executive or Manager (E13)
2,439
75
97.02%
Second Preference (EB2)
18,246
3,458
84.07%
Professionals with Advanced Degrees (E21)
15,866
252
98.44%
National Interest Waiver (NIW)
2,380
3,206
42.61%
Third Preference (EB3)
23,715
433
98.21%
Skilled Worker (E31)
5,021
171
96.71%
Professionals with Baccalaureate Degrees (E32)
8,190
144
98.27%
Unskilled Workers (EW3)
10,504
118
98.89%

USCIS Data Reveals Sharp Decline in High-Skilled Visa Approvals

The EB-1A green card, reserved for individuals with extraordinary ability, saw approval rates plummet from 66.91% in FY 2025 to 47.45% in Q1 2026.

The EB-2 NIW also saw increased scrutiny, with the approval rate down from 55.17% in FY 2025 to 42.61% in Q1 2026.

Why Is Scrutiny Increasing?

In the past several years, the number of applications for both the EB-2 NIW and EB-1 has skyrocketed. For example, Fiscal Year (FY) 2022 saw 21,973 EB-2 NIW petitions, whereas FY 2025 saw 66,276 filings in FY 2025. This 200% increase in a few short years has led USCIS adjudicators to apply stricter standards, utilizing more subjective “final merits determinations” and apply stricter judgment on national interest.

Recently, USCIS was ordered to approve a formerly rejected EB-1A petition after a U.S. district court decided the final merits determination was unlawfully adopted and arbitrarily applied.

 

How VisaNation Can Help

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Despite an increase in scutiny, VisaNation Law Group's approval rates remain well above USCIS approval averages. Our attorneys are experts in high-talent visas like the EB-1A and EB-2 NIW, and can provide an honest assessment of your chances based on your profile.