July 2023 Visa Bulletin: Analysis & Predictions

One of the most significant parts of getting a green card in the U.S. is waiting for your priority date to be current. For those that have invested the time, effort, and money into an immigrant visa, questions arise such as “How long will it take for my date to be current?” and “Can I speed this process up?” We provide regular monthly updates on the most recent visa bulletin, analyze the date movements, and predict upcoming months to help answer these questions. This month, we’ll go over the July 2023 visa bulletin.

If you want more information on the background of the visa bulletin and how to read the bulletin, make sure to scroll to the bottom of the post or click the interested link in the Table of Contents.

July 2023 Visa Bulletin: Overview and Predictions

In this new bulletin, we see some major retrogressions in the employment-based third preference category, causing delays in visa availability most notably for India. We see some advancements in the family-based categories. All countries in the F-2A category for the Family-Based Dates for Filing Chart are curent. 

Applicants who have experienced excess delays have few options for visa issuance if an I-140 priority date is no longer current or has been significantly affected by retrogression. One option is to explore “porting” or “downgrading” one’s visa category.  This avenue is most workable for individuals “downgrading” from EB-2 to EB-3.  Since the visa cut-off dates are not completely predictable, applicants should carefully consider this option before starting the process. Some applicants may choose to watchfully wait for the next visa bulletin to make a decision. 

Individuals who are “current” based on the July 2023 Final Action Chart under the employment-based categories may file for adjustment of status if all other qualifications are met. Those with overseas applications can look forward to an immigrant visa issuance or the advancement of the immigrant visa process. Individuals who are “current” based on the July 2023 Visa Bulletin should act quickly to complete immigrant visa and adjustment of status application requirements as any near future retrogressions will cause additional visa issuance and adjustment of status adjudication delays. 

The Final Action Dates chart determines when an I-485 or IV can be approved, while the Dates for Filing Chart determines when an applicant can file an I-485.

Suppose you have an Adjustment of Status (AOS) application currently pending. Your priority date must be current under the Final Action Chart to adjudicate your green card. If you are contemplating interfiling—a process that allows AOS applicants to change their preference category—don’t hesitate to contact VisaNation Law Group.

Family-Based Green Cards

The category for family-based immigration comprises four preference levels based on who your sponsoring family member is in relation to you. There are five chargeability areas for this category: China, India, Mexico, the Philippines, and all other countries. Due to the global pandemic and limited appointments at overseas consular offices, family-based immigrant visas continue to see low usage numbers. Therefore, any unused family-based visas get added to the EB categories.

Family-Based Dates for Filing Charts

The Dates for Filing chart determines when an applicant can file an I-485. 

In the F-1 category, China, India, and all other countries of chargeability advance to September 1, 2017. Mexico advances one month to January 1, 2003 , and the Philippines remains on April 22, 2015.

In the F-2A category, all countries are current.

In the F-2B category, China, India, and all other countries of chargeability remain at January 1, 2017. The Philippines stayed on October 1, 2013. Mexico advances three months to April 1, 2002. 

In the F-3 category, China, India, and all other countries of chargeability advance to March 1, 2010. Mexico remains at June 15, 2001 and the Philippines remains at November 8, 2003. 

In the F-4 category, China, and the rest of the world move to March 1, 2008. India remains at February 22, 2006 while Mexico is at April 15, 2001 and Philippines remains at April 22, 2004. 

For the purposes of the July 2023 bulletin AOS, USCIS has not yet indicated  which Chart to use for family-sponsored filings. Check back at a later point. If a particular immigrant visa category is “current” on the Final Action Dates chart or the cutoff date on the Final Action Dates chart is later than the date on the Dates for Filing chart, applicants in that immigrant visa category may file using the Final Action Dates chart during that month.

*The numbers in the brackets designate the amount of movement in the filing date for that particular category compared to the previous month. If there’s no bracket below certain dates, there is no movement for those dates/categories in the latest visa bulletin.

Family-Based Final Action Dates Chart

The Final Action Dates Chart shows some changes since the last Visa Bulletin. In the F-1 category, there is no change to China, India or the rest of the world. Mexico advances to April 22, 2001 and Phillipines advances to March 1, 2012.

In the F2A category, China, India and all chargeability areas remain at September 8, 2020. Mexico is at November 1, 2018 and Philippines is at September 8, 2020.

In the F-2B category, China, India, and the rest of the world remained on September 22, 2015, while Mexico advances to August 1, 2001, and the Philippines remained on October 22, 2011.

In the F-3 category, China, India, and the rest of the world advance to December 22, 2008, while Mexico advances to January 15, 1998 and the Philipines remained on June 8, 2002.

Finally, in the F-4 category, China and the rest of the world advance to April 22, 2007, India is at September 15, 2005, and the Philippines on August 22, 2002. Mexico remains at August 1, 2000.

*The numbers in the brackets designate the amount of movement in the final action date for that particular category compared to the previous month. If there’s no bracket below certain dates, there is no movement for those dates/categories in the latest visa bulletin.

Remember, marriage-based green card applicants, are known as immediate relatives and don’t have to wait to receive a green card.

Employment-Based Green Cards

With five different preference levels and seven chargeability areas, USCIS issues employment-based category visas through your job or occupation. The chargeability areas are China, India, Mexico, the Philippines, Central America (Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador), Vietnam, and the general category.

Employment-Based Final Action Dates Chart

We see some retrogressions in the Final Action Dates Chart in the employment-based category.

In the EB-1 category, most countries are current apart from China and India, which remain at February 1, 2022, as of this bulletin.

In EB-2, we see no changes. China remains at June 8, 2019. Mexico, Philippines, and the rest of the world remain at February 15, 2022. India remains at January 1, 2011.

For the EB-3 category, Mexico, the Philippines, and the rest of the world retrogress 4 months to February 1, 2022. Mainland China remains at April 1, 2019 while India retrogresses over 41 months to January 1, 2009.

In the EB-3 Other category, there is no change for Mexico, Philippines, and the rest of the world. Mainland China remains at September 1, 2015. India retrogresses over 41 months to January 1, 2009. 

In the EB-4 category, we see no change. All countries across the board remain at September 1, 2018.

For EB-5, all countries are current apart from China (September 8, 2015) and India (April 1, 2017).

USCIS has not yet specified which chart to use for employment-based AOS Filings. Check back at a later point. 

Employment-Based Dates for Filing Chart

Here are the July 2023 Visa Bulletin Final Action dates for employment-based immigrant visas. All countries in EB-1 are current except for China and India, which are on June 1, 2022.

In EB-2, we see Mexico, the Philippines, and the rest of the world remain on December 1, 2022. China remained on July 8, 2019, and India stayed on May 1, 2012.

In the EB-3 category, Mexico, the Philippines, Central America, and the rest of the world are at May 1, 2023. China remains at June 1, 2019 while India remains at August 1, 2012.

Finally, for EB-3 Other, we see Mexico, the Philippines, and the rest of the world remain at February 1, 2020. China remains at January 1, 2016 and India remains at August 1, 2012.

In the EB-4 category, we see no change. All dates across the board are October 1, 2018.

Finally, in the EB-5 unreserved category, Mexico, the Philippines, Central America, and the rest of the world are current. China remained on January 1, 2016, and India on December 8, 2019.

*The numbers in the brackets designate the amount of movement in the final action date for that particular category compared to the previous month. If there’s no bracket below certain dates, there is no movement for those dates/categories in the latest visa bulletin.

Important July 2023 Visa Bulletin Dates

For those new to the green card process, you should learn a few terms and remember to understand the rest of this July 2023 visa bulletin report. If you have further questions about the process or anything else about your green card, you should consult with your immigration attorney.

Priority Dates

The first term that you’ll hear thrown around is the priority date. Each person who files a petition with the USCIS receives a priority date when the government obtains your petition. A priority date establishes a person’s place in line to get an immigrant visa. Keep this date handy since you will need it to compare to the dates in this bulletin. Remember that your priority date does not move, and you cannot change it except under certain circumstances.

Note: Priority dates are not relevant for immediate relatives of U.S. Citizens (e.g., spouses or minor children) as that category is always current.

Final Action Dates

Final action dates are based on the green card category and the chargeability area—your country of origin. Therefore, the final action dates constantly change based on how many people from each chargeability area have petitioned for that green card.

If green cards are still available, the final action date will likely move closer to your priority date. If green cards are unavailable, you will not see any movement from that final action date. However, if the limit has passed, you may see the date retrogress or move backward from your priority date.

Once the final action date in your green card preference level and chargeability area reaches your priority date, your priority date will be considered current. Once current, you will adjust your status or go through consular processing.

Date for Filing Charts and I-485

You’ll notice there are two charts for each category.

The Date for Filing chart determines whether or not one can submit the final immigrant visa application.

The Final Action Date chart indicates whether an immigrant visa number will be available.

If you need to file an adjustment of status, Form I-485, you need to follow the Final Action Date chart to know when to file based on your priority date. However, sometimes USCIS will note that they’ll accept I-485s based on the Date for Filing chart. USCIS will use this chart when more immigrant visas are available than applicants.

USCIS announces which chart applicants can use within a week of the visa bulletin’s release.

Can You Shorten Your Waiting Time?

The short answer is: probably not. However, there are two prominent cases in which you may be able to shorten your green card processing time, which we will explain here.

The first way is to file an I-140 for a green card and chargeability area with a current priority date. In this case, rather than wait the usual six months for your petition to be processed, you can pay an additional fee for premium processing, which will shorten the processing time to 15 calendar days. However, this is only available for certain green cards that use the I-140. It is unavailable for family- or investment-based immigration and the EB-1C or EB-2 NIW.

The second situation involves green card “porting,” or transferring your application from a lower preference level to a higher one to take advantage of the shorter waiting times. This is misleading because you don’t port your green card. In reality, you need to start with a new petition (and a new PERM if necessary). The “porting” aspect only comes in when you indicate that you want to retain your original priority date.

As attractive as “porting” might seem, it is a delicate process with particular requirements. Therefore, running decisions like these through your immigration attorney is always good.

Staying Up-to-Date

In the world of immigration law, it always pays to be informed. The more you know about your green card, the easier it will be to make informed decisions about your case. To stay in the know about things like the newest visa bulletin, you can subscribe to the Department of State’s newsletter by emailing [email protected] with the message “Subscribe Visa Bulletin.”